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page 13 / 445 . OCR, unverified
human toll. Urbanization has also increased vulnerability to natural disasters, especially in
countries with limited response capacity.
For this reason, IPI supported the State of Qatar in developing the HOPEFOR initiative, which
aims to improve the use of military and civil defense assets for natural disaster response.
EFTA_R 1_00170197
EFTA01809962
--- PAGE 17 ---
Monday. June 4. 12
A consequence of environmental degradation is the growing concern over water scarcity. It
affects 1 in 3 people worldwide.
EFTA_R 1_00170198
EFTA01809963
--- PAGE 18 ---
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Water use for agriculture
International Water Management Institute 2006 Comprehensive Assessment
Monday. June 4. 12
As of today, 70% of water use goes to agriculture.
And of even greater concern, 80% of the used water is neither collected nor treated.
EFTA_R 1_00170199
EFTA01809964
--- PAGE 19 ---
Technology
Monday. June 4, 12
The increasing pace of technological change is our third mega-trend.
EFTA R1_00170200
EFTA01809965
--- PAGE 20 ---
Monday, June 4, 12
Technology is changing faster today than ever before in human history. In less than a
generation, things like texting, blogging and streaming video have transformed politics and
society irrevocably.
Just think about this: In 2010, there were more cellphone subscribers than human beings
living on our planet in 1985.
EFTA_R1_00170201
EFTA01809966
--- PAGE 21 ---
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ITU The World in 2010: ICT Facts and Figures
Monday, June 4, 12
Today, the speed of technology diffusion is unprecedented.
For example, global access to the internet has more than doubled in the last 5 years.
However, the diffusion of this technology has not been distributed evenly across regions.
In the Americas, more than half the population has regular access to the internet.
In the Arab States, less than 30%.
And in Africa, less than 10%.
The digital divide still persists.
EFTA_R1_00170202
EFTA01809967
--- PAGE 22 ---
Monday, June 4, 12
This famous image of our planet at night illustrates this point.
It conveys the vivid contrast between the bright and technologically advanced urban centers
and the darker, less developed, but increasingly crowded regions of the rest of the world.
EFTA_R1_00170203
EFTA01809968
--- PAGE 23 ---
Monday, June 4, 12
Technology creates immense opportunities. However, it also carries unforeseen dangers.
2011 has seen a major wave of cyber attacks. Targets included Apple, Citigroup, Google, NBC,
and the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Defense ministries in Australia, Japan, Norway, the US,
and NATO were also hacked.
EFTA_R1_00170204
EFTA01809969
--- PAGE 24 ---
Monday. June 4, 12
Cyber attacks can also disrupt critical infrastructure. Things as diverse as power plants, water
treatment and air traffic control are all heavily dependent on computer networks and easily
targeted by terrorists and criminals.
EFTA_R1_00170205
EFTA01809970
--- PAGE 25 ---
Economic Power
Monday. June 4, 12
The fourth trend that is driving major change is the shifts in economic power.
EFTA_R1_00170206
EFTA01809971
--- PAGE 26 ---
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IMF 2011 World Economic Outlook Database
Monday, June 4, 12
The global economy is still characterized by uncertainty and volatility. The Eurozone might not
have avoided the worst, and remains a long way from recovery. Brazilian growth estimates
were recently downgraded. Some experts also see signs of a bubble in the Chinese economy.
However, one trend is clear. Even before the 2008 financial crisis, economic influence has
begun to move from Western countries to emerging powers.
Different countries' relative contribution to the world economy has changed dramatically.
In 2000, the G7 countries contributed to 65% of the world economy.
EFTA_R1_00170207
EFTA01809972
--- PAGE 27 ---
Monday, June 4, 12
In only ten years, they went down to 51%, while the so called BRIC countries have grown from
one-sixth of the world economy to almost a quarter. This trend seems to be bound to continue.
EFTA_R1_00170208
EFTA01809973
--- PAGE 28 ---
Monday, June 4, 12
Part of the strain on the global economy is due to the price fluctuation of scarce commodities
like oil and food.
Demand for energy will increase by one-third in the next 25 years.
Non-OPEC countries currently produce roughly half of the global oil supply.